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Thread: Fresh Forex forecast

  1. #11
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    box - einstein 250x250

  2. Under 1st Post -dynamo
  3. #12
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  4. #13
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    All technical analysis are based on the fact future is a repetition of the past.

    that's why tA is not reliable,

  5. #14
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    EURUSD Elliot Waves Analysis For 26 May 2016
    26 May 2016, EUR/USD

    Wave Analysis:
    EUR/USD is currently trading with a strong bullish bias. Yesterday, the pair made a marginal higher high and even broke above 1.1166. Following this breakout, we expect further momentum to the upper side but should not close above 1.12177. This view remains valid as long as the pair trades above 1.1166, a clear breakout below 1.1166 and also below 1.1138 will lead to an acceleration to the lower side. This pair should be traded alongside EUR/CHF, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD. These pairs have a strong positive correlation of up to +0.85 and will likely have a similar price action during this week.
    Trade Recommendations:
    Wait for minor downward pullbacks towards 1.1166, then go long with your target at 1.12177. Sell positions are only ideal below 1.1138 with you ideal target at 1.1099.

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  6. #15
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    Daily Forex market review 29 June 2016



    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)

    US GDP for the first quarter was revised to the positive direction, and June's index of consumer confidence from the Conference Board rose to its highest level for the 8 months. Thus, economic growth ha accelerated in the United States, which favors US dollar.
    - ADX on the daily, 4-hours and the hourly charts indicates a flat.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hours and the hourly charts indicates a flat as well.
    - We should open Sell positions at 1.1100 (one eleven double zero) and 1.1150 (one eleven fifty). As for Take profit orders, we should set them at 1.1040 (one ten forty) (area of the lower Bollinger bands indicator on the hourly chart).
    GBP/USD (Pound/dollar)
    - On 27 and 28 of June two largest international rating agencies Standard & Poor's and Fitch downgraded the UK's rating, that will force outflow of capital from the country.
    - ADX on the daily, 4-hours and the hourly charts indicates a flat.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hours and the hourly charts indicates a flat as well.
    - The pair is in the flat, cause large market participants continue to build up short position in the market.
    - We should open Sell positions at 1.3390 (one thirty three ninety) and 1.3500 (one thirty five double zero). As for Take profit orders, we should set them at 1.3240 (one thirty two forty) (area of strong support level).
    USD/JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen)
    - On tuesday the fear index S&P500 VIX showed a decline in the rate of 21.3% (twenty one dot three per cent) It indicates an increase in demand in risky assets and allows bulls testing the upper border within the range 101.39 -103.25. (one hundred and one dot thirty nine - one hundred and three dot twenty five)
    - ADX on the daily chart indicates a strong downtrend; whereas, on the 4-hour and the hourly charts it shows flat.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hours and the hourly charts indicates a flat.
    - We should open Sell positions at 102.80 (one hundred and two dot eighty) and 103.20 (one hundred and one dot twenty) (area the upper Bollinger bands on the hourly chart) As for Take profit orders, we should set them at 102,00 (one hundred and two sharply) (area of the lower border Bollinger bands indicator on the hourly chart).

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  7. #16
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    Daily Forex market review 30 June 2016



    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)
    US report on private consumption for May indicates acceleration of economic growth in the second quarter, which is positive for US dollar.
    - ADX on the daily and 4-hour charts indicates a flat, on the hourly chart it is nearing the downtrend zone.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hour charts and the hourly chart indicates a flat.
    - We should open Sell positions at 1.1140 (one eleven forty) and 1.1180 (one eleven eighty) (area of the upper Bollinger band on the hourly chart). As for Take profit orders, we should set them at 1.1060 (one ten sixty) (area of the lower border on the Bollinger bands indicator on the hourly chart).
    GBP/USD (Pound /dollar)
    - In credit markets, yield of the 10-years' UK government bonds has dropped against their counterparts from the USA and Germany, which makes investments in British assets less attractive. The bond market still conveys that sales of the pound are not over yet.
    - ADX on the daily and 4-hour charts indicates a flat, on the hourly chart it is nearing the downtrend zone.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hour charts and the hourly chart indicates a flat.
    - We should open Sell positions at 1.3480 (one thirty four eighty) and 1.3530 (one thirty five thirty) (area of the upper Bollinger band on the hourly chart) As for Take profit orders, we should set them at 1.3350 (one thirty three fifty) (area of the lower Bollinger band indicator on the hourly chart).
    USD /JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen)
    - Despite a strong growth of stock indices since the beginning of the trading week (for example, Nikkei 225 rose by 4.11% (four dot eleven per cent) and the Euro Stoxx 50 by 2.02% - two dot zero two per cent), the pair has completely ignored this positive background and demonstrated a modest growth by 0,3% (zero fot three per cent) . This indicates a large number of sellers on the market.
    - ADX on the daily chart indicates a strong downtrend; whereas on the 4-hour chart and hourly charts it indicates a flat.
    - RSI on the daily, 4-hour charts and the hourly chart indicates a flat.
    - We should open Sell positions at 102.90 (one hundred and two dot ninety) and 103.30 (one hundred and three dot thirty) (area the upper Bollinger band on the hourly chart). Open Take profit orders at 101.50 (one hundred and one dot fifty) (area of the lower border Bollinger band on the 4-hour chart).

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  8. #17
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    Daily Forex market review 05 July 2016



    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)
    - on Monday the Italian government said that is not going to solve problems of credit institutions at the expense of state. Problems in Italian banks (and not only they alone) and a lot of investors began to sell banks' shares in a hurry, which is negative for the euro.
    - ADX on the daily chart shows the flat; whereas on the hourly chart it shows the downtrend.
    - RSI is out of the oversoldness area and allows us holding Sell trades.
    - Recommendation: We should open Sell positions from 1.1140 (one eleven forty) and 1.1170 (one eleven seventy) (area of the middle and upper Bollinger bands, respectively). Set take profit at 1.1097 (one ten ninety seven) (a strong support).
    GBP/USD (Pound /dollar)
    - PMI index of the UK construction sector in June fell to its lowest level since October 2009 (two thousand and nine). In our opinion, this is just the beginning. Further we will receive an entire portion of weak macroeconomic statistics, cut of the rate by the Bank of England, increase of the QE (Quantitative Easing) package and decline of the pound to new multi-years Lows.
    - ADX on the daily chart shows the flat; the hourly chart shows the downtrend.
    - RSI on the hourly chart is in the oversoldness area, signaling a possible upward correction.
    - Recommendation: We should open Sell positions from 1.3260 (one thirty two sixty) and 1.3305 (one thirty three zero five) (area of the middle and upper Bollinger bands, respectively). Set take profit at 1,3119 (one thirty one nineteen) (a strong support)
    USD/JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen
    - "Risk appetite" has dropped again, which plays into the hands of bears. Once again, dark clouds are above the European banking sector: the Italian government refused to provide banks with additional liquidity. The management of Deutsche Bank does not know what to do with bad assets. Very often, crises begins with the banking sector. In 2008, it were the US banks, now, 8 years later, apparently, it will be the European financial institutions.
    - ADX on the daily chart shows the flat; whereas on the 4-hour and hourly charts it shows the downtrend chart.
    - RSI hourly chart has formed a divergence in the oversoldness zone, indicating the upward correction.
    - Recommendation: We should open Sell positions from 102.30 (one hundred and two dot thirty) and 102.65 (one hundred and two dot sixty five) (the area of the middle Bollinger band). Set take profit at 100,82 (one hundred sharply dot eighty two (a strong support)

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  9. #18
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    FreshForex Company has prepared a surprise: every client can get a gift set: Advisor, indicator and script for free! [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    Daily Forex market review 2 August 2016



    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)
    - On the one hand, sales on the commodity market will support the US currency, as the cost of commodities is denominated in USD. On the other hand, weak PMI on the UK manufacturing sector can have a positive impact on EUR/GBP (euro/pound) cross-rate. In its turn, it is positive for EUR/USD, so we expect a flat on this pair.
    - ADX indicator on the daily and 4-hours charts shows the uptrend.
    - RSI indicator on the 4-hours chart is overbought, which means the downtrend.
    - Recommendation: trade inside the flat 1.1150 -1.1210 (one dot eleven fifty - one twelve ten)
    The next pair - GBP/USD (Pound/dollar)
    - Today, Markit information company will publish PMI report on the UK construction sector. Taking into account Brexit, we can expect release of weak data. Political risks jeopardize commercial and residential property markets. Sales are still observed on the oil market and Brent quotations are to test the psychological level $40/barrel, which means the downtrend.
    Both indicators ADX and RSI on the daily, 4-hour s and hourly charts show the flat.
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 1,3220 (one thirty two twenty) and take profit at 1,3140 (one thirty one forty)
    And finally, USD/JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen)
    - The day before, the "fear" index VIX S&P five hundred 500 grew by 6%. In Europe, leaders of the most notable decline were shares of the banking sector including Italian shares. The outflow from risky assets will cause the inflow of capital into the Japanese yen, which means the downtrend.
    Both indicators ADX and RSI on the daily, 4-hour s and hourly charts show the flat.
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 102.45 (one hundred and two dot forty five) and take profit at 101.90 (one hundred and one dot ninety).
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  10. #19
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    FreshForex Company has prepared a surprise: every client can get a gift set: Advisor, indicator and script for free! [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    Daily Forex market review 3 August 2016



    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)
    - Today the United States will publish the reports on employment from ADP and business activity in the field of services from ISM. Taking into account the fast economic growth, both indicators may be better than the consensus forecast, which is positive for US dollar.
    - ADX indicator on the daily and 4-hours charts shapes the uptrend; whereas on the hourly chart it shows the downtrend.
    - RSI indicator on the 4-hours chart is in the overboughtness area and has formed a divergence there, which means the downtrend.
    - Recommendation: trade inside the flat 1.1150 -1.1210 (one dot eleven fifty - one twelve ten) .
    The next pair - GBP/USD (Pound/dollar)
    - In the afternoon, we will probably see the negative release on crude oil reserves from the US Department of Energy. It will put the oil under pressure and in this regard, we can see the demand in the US currency, as the cost of commodity is denominated in US dollars.
    - ADX indicator on the daily and 4-hours charts shows the flat; whereas on the hourly chart it shows the downtrend.
    - RSI indicator on the daily, 4-hours and hourly charts shows the flat
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 1,3365 (one thirty three sixty five) and take profit at 1,3265 (one thirty two sixty five).
    And finally, USD/JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen)

    - An outflow of capital from risky assets supported the Japanese yen as a funding currency. The day before, on US stock market, the index of "fear" VIX S&P500 grew by 7.4% (seven dot four per cent), which means the downtrend.
    - ADX Indicator on the monthly and weekly charts shows the downtrend; on the daily, 4-hours and hourly charts it shows the flat
    - RSI indicator on the daily and hourly charts shows the flat.
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 101.30 (one hundred and one dot thirty) and take profit at 100.60 (one hundred sharply dot sixty)
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  11. #20
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    dynamo - First and lasp post every thread AXITrader aff
    FreshForex Company has prepared a surprise: every client can get a gift set: Advisor, indicator and script for free! [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    *

    Daily Forex market review 4*August 2016

    *



    *

    EUR/USD (Euro/dollar pair)*
    Spread between yield of 10 years' US and German bonds is expanded, which is negative for euro. Oil correction will be short-term and soon we will see another drop of quotations to the psychological level $40 per barrel, which is negative for euro, too. So, this is the downtrend.
    - ADX indicator on the 4-hours and hourly charts shows the downtrend.
    - RSI indicator on the hourly chart has formed a divergence and this was done in the oversoldness zone. So, it shows the uptrend on the hourly chart.
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 1,1165 (one dot*eleven sixty five) and take profit at 1,1100 (one dot*eleven double zero).
    The next pair - GBP/USD (Pound/dollar)
    - The main event today will be announcement of results of the Bank of England's meeting on monetary policy. If the Bank of England cuts the rate, this may cause a fall of the British currency. If the rate remains at the same level, the pound may grow.
    - ADX indicator on the 4-hours and hourly charts shows the flat; on the hourly chart it shows the downtrend.
    - RSI indicator on the daily, 4-hours and hourly charts shows the flat.
    - Recommendation: If the Bank of England cuts the rate, we should open Sell positions so that take profit in 100 points.*
    If the Bank of England does not cut the interest rate, we should open Buy position so that take profit in 50 points.
    And finally, USD/JPY (Dollar/Japanese Yen)
    - Today's trading results will be determined by the "risk appetite" of investors. On Wednesday, the shares of Deutsche Bank were excluded from the Euro Stoxx 50 index. The reason was a heavy drop of its capitalization. This is another wake-up call for players of the stock market as Deutsche Bank is a financial institution number one in Europe. So, this is the downtrend.
    - ADX indicator on a monthly and weekly charts shows the downtrend. On the hourly chart, it is the uptrend
    - On the hourly chart RSI indicator is approaching the oversoldness zone, which indicates that the upward correction is over.
    - Recommendation: Open Sell trades at 101.70 (one hundred and one seventy) and take profit at 101.00. ( (one hundred and one sharply)
    *[Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

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